Juve Stabia–Verona
Motivazione della nuova proposta
Verona 8 reti e 10 subite nelle ultime cinque, Juve Stabia 7 fatte; i 20 tiri subiti dalla Juve Stabia contro Cremonese avvertono sulla fragilità.
Altre opzioni valutate
Goal Sì · Multigol 2–4
Controtesi del dossier calcistico originale
Rischio: Juve Stabia solo tre reti subite in cinque e Verona con squalifica Lella; l'1-1 non è base statistica sicura.. Controtesi: Juve Stabia 7 GF/5 e 77 tiri; Verona 8 GF/5, 10 GS/5 e 77 tiri. Scenario da 1-1/2-1 più equilibrato dell'Over ad alto punteggio.
Lo studio statistico e il censimento dei mercati sottostanti sono conservati integralmente. Il confronto prezzi originale non certifica la nuova selezione.
Le tabelle conservano le finestre e i dati originali, senza ricondurre tutto a una media artificiale.
Juve Stabia
Valutazione tecnica della squadra
Last five Juve Stabia 7GF and 3GA, 77 shots for and 65 conceded, 23 SOT against15. Cremonese still generated 20 attempts in a narrow 1-0 win. XG source not yet covers last two victories.
Qualità avversari considerati
Latest Juve Stabia faced Cremonese, Südtirol, Virtus Entella, Cesena, Vicenza. Two wins with no goals conceded in October contrast September draws.
| Periodo | Gol fatti | Gol subiti | xG | xGA | Tiri fatti | Tiri concessi | Tiri in porta | Tiri in porta concessi | Corner fatti | Corner concessi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultime cinque (5 gare) | 7 | 3 | n.d. | n.d. | 77 | 65 | 23 | 15 | 20 | 24 |
| Ultime tre (3 gare) | 5 | 1 | n.d. | n.d. | 48 | 40 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| Stagione (8 gare) | 8 | 9 | n.d. | n.d. | 122 | 110 | 35 | 33 | 37 | 35 |
| Casa / trasferta (3 gare) | 4 | 4 | n.d. | n.d. | 52 | 36 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Tutti i valori sopra sono totali del rispettivo campione; xG e xGA non omogenei o non presenti sono segnalati come n.d., non convertiti in zero.
Ultime cinque · sequenza dei risultati
| Data | Avversario | Campo | GF | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2026 | Cremonese Calcio | Trasferta | 1 | 0 |
| 18/10/2026 | FC Südtirol | Casa | 3 | 0 |
| 10/10/2026 | Virtus Entella | Trasferta | 1 | 1 |
| 18/09/2026 | Cesena FC | Casa | 1 | 1 |
| 12/09/2026 | L.R. Vicenza | Trasferta | 1 | 1 |
Ultime tre · sequenza dei risultati
| Data | Avversario | Campo | GF | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2026 | Cremonese Calcio | Trasferta | 1 | 0 |
| 18/10/2026 | FC Südtirol | Casa | 3 | 0 |
| 10/10/2026 | Virtus Entella | Trasferta | 1 | 1 |
Verona
Valutazione tecnica della squadra
Verona have 8GF and 10GA in five, 77 shots for versus72 allowed. Their first seven Serie B games yielded 15.58 xG and 8.24 xGA, better chances than scorelines suggest; Lella banned.
Qualità avversari considerati
Verona faced Pisa, Catanzaro, Modena, Vicenza, Benevento most recently; opponents' attacking structure differs significantly.
| Periodo | Gol fatti | Gol subiti | xG | xGA | Tiri fatti | Tiri concessi | Tiri in porta | Tiri in porta concessi | Corner fatti | Corner concessi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultime cinque (5 gare) | 8 | 10 | n.d. | n.d. | 77 | 72 | 25 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
| Ultime tre (3 gare) | 5 | 6 | n.d. | n.d. | 50 | 50 | 16 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| Stagione (8 gare) | 15 | 13 | n.d. | n.d. | 131 | 93 | 44 | 28 | 49 | 26 |
| Casa / trasferta (3 gare) | 4 | 7 | n.d. | n.d. | 39 | 43 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 9 |
Tutti i valori sopra sono totali del rispettivo campione; xG e xGA non omogenei o non presenti sono segnalati come n.d., non convertiti in zero.
Ultime cinque · sequenza dei risultati
| Data | Avversario | Campo | GF | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2026 | Pisa Sporting Club | Casa | 1 | 1 |
| 16/10/2026 | Catanzaro Calcio | Casa | 2 | 2 |
| 11/10/2026 | Modena FC | Trasferta | 2 | 3 |
| 20/09/2026 | L.R. Vicenza | Casa | 2 | 1 |
| 11/09/2026 | Benevento Calcio | Trasferta | 1 | 3 |
Ultime tre · sequenza dei risultati
| Data | Avversario | Campo | GF | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2026 | Pisa Sporting Club | Casa | 1 | 1 |
| 16/10/2026 | Catanzaro Calcio | Casa | 2 | 2 |
| 11/10/2026 | Modena FC | Trasferta | 2 | 3 |
Probabile formazione e reparto · Juve Stabia
Formazione probabile registrata, non ufficiale: sono mantenuti ruolo, note tecniche e ballottaggi.
| N. | Calciatore | Ruolo | Annotazione tecnico-tattica |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ante Vuković | GK | Expected starting keeper, builds through central defenders under visiting press. |
| 2 | Terrence Douglas | LB | Left fullback checks Sarr advancing from the opponent right and recovers wide. |
| 3 | Marco Bellich | CB | Central defender 0.62 shots per90, mainly guards Mosquera in the box. |
| 4 | Davide Bettella | CB | Defensive partner to Bellich, 0.49 attempts per90 in previous league sample. |
| 5 | Tommaso Maggioni | RB | Right fullback tracks Livramento cutting inside and delivers to Di Nardo. |
| 6 | Justin Kumi | CM | Midfield recovery role challenges Iannoni for central possession. |
| 7 | Federico Artioli | DM | Screening midfielder protects the gap where Kastanos receives. |
| 8 | Christian Pierobon | CM | Central runner 0.79 shots per90, challenges the Le Borgne midfield lane. |
| 9 | Giuseppe Sibilli | RW | Wide creative attacker seeks space against Zappa on the left side. |
| 10 | Antonio Di Nardo | CF | Four goals from only 0.21 source xG in five appearances, highly unstable finishing sample. |
| 11 | Fabio Maistro | LW | Attacking creator with fifteen attempts across six earlier recorded appearances. |
Assenze, squalifiche e incertezze
- Nessuna ulteriore indisponibilità indicata nel fascicolo
Probabile formazione e reparto · Verona
Formazione probabile registrata, non ufficiale: sono mantenuti ruolo, note tecniche e ballottaggi.
| N. | Calciatore | Ruolo | Annotazione tecnico-tattica |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simone Perilli | GK | Projected keeper directs the visiting back four against home two-line pressure. |
| 2 | Davide De Battisti | RB | Right fullback supports Sarr and guards Maistro's leftward attacking zone. |
| 3 | Tobias Slotsager | RCB | Right central defender protects the central channel occupied by Di Nardo. |
| 4 | Andrias Edmundsson | LCB | Left centreback 0.17 attempts per90, covers Di Nardo central attacking runs. |
| 5 | Gabriele Zappa | LB | Left fullback 1.02 attempts per90, covers Sibilli and supports Livramento. |
| 6 | Edoardo Iannoni | DM | Central midfielder protects the defence from Pierobon runs and joins possession. |
| 7 | Andréa Le Borgne | CM | Visiting midfielder 1.30 attempts per90 and support passer into final third. |
| 8 | Amin Sarr | RW | High-volume winger 3.23 attempts per90 and goal threat against Douglas. |
| 9 | Grigoris Kastanos | AM | Attacking midfielder receives behind Kumi, supplying Mosquera on goal. |
| 10 | Dailon Livramento | LW | Left wide attacker finds space behind Maggioni's advanced movements. |
| 11 | Daniel Mosquera | CF | Six goals from only 2.27 xG in earlier three matches, high conversion on short sample. |
Assenze, squalifiche e incertezze
- Nunzio Lella suspended after 25 October red card
- Domagoj Bradarić muscle problem
- Seid Korac injury
- Suat Serdar knee ligament injury
Profili individuali: numeri e ruolo nell’incontro
Dati calcistici per spiegare le dinamiche; nessuna giocata sui calciatori.
| Calciatore | Squadra | Indicatore / campione | Lettura tecnico-tattica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Bellich | Juve Stabia | Tiri / 90 0,62 (8 gare, per90) | Bellich has 0.62 shot attempts per90, does not imply tackling frequency. |
| Davide Bettella | Juve Stabia | Tiri / 90 0,49 (8 gare, per90) | Bettella has 0.49 attempts per90 and performs defensive marking. |
| Christian Pierobon | Juve Stabia | Tiri / 90 0,79 (8 gare, per90) | Pierobon has 0.79 attempts per90 as central runner. |
| Antonio Di Nardo | Juve Stabia | xg_p90 0,06 (5 gare, per90) | Di Nardo scored four goals from 0.21 xG in a short sample; conversion unlikely to persist mechanically. |
| Andrias Edmundsson | Verona | Tiri / 90 0,17 (6 gare, per90) | Edmundsson has 0.17 shots per90 and chiefly supplies defensive cover. |
| Gabriele Zappa | Verona | Tiri / 90 1,02 (6 gare, per90) | Zappa 1.02 shots per90 and can overlap from left defence. |
| Andréa Le Borgne | Verona | Tiri / 90 1,3 (7 gare, per90) | Le Borgne takes 1.30 shots per90 supporting central attacks. |
| Amin Sarr | Verona | Tiri / 90 3,23 (7 gare, per90) | Sarr takes 3.23 attempts per90 and cuts in from visiting right. |
| Daniel Mosquera | Verona | xg_p90 1,07 (3 gare, per90) | Mosquera xG per90 from only 191 minutes in earlier source; his six goals reflect exceptional conversion. |
Duelli: meccanismo, dati e controprove
1. Antonio Di Nardo ↔ Andrias Edmundsson
Meccanismo
Di Nardo attacks the central box corridor screened by left centreback Edmundsson.
Dati di riferimento e limiti
Independent offensive measures 0.06 vs 0.17 per90, not duel success.
| Profilo | Indicatore | Valore | Campione |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Di Nardo | xg_p90 | 0,06 per90 | 5 gare |
| Andrias Edmundsson | shots_p90 | 0,17 per90 | 6 gare |
2. Christian Pierobon ↔ Andréa Le Borgne
Meccanismo
Pierobon and Le Borgne move through the same central recoveries and second-ball zone.
Dati di riferimento e limiti
Independent offensive measures 0.79 vs 1.3 per90, not duel success.
| Profilo | Indicatore | Valore | Campione |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Pierobon | shots_p90 | 0,79 per90 | 8 gare |
| Andréa Le Borgne | shots_p90 | 1,3 per90 | 7 gare |
3. Marco Bellich ↔ Amin Sarr
Meccanismo
Bellich covers inside home left centreback while Sarr cuts in from Verona attacking right.
Dati di riferimento e limiti
Independent offensive measures 0.62 vs 3.23 per90, not duel success.
| Profilo | Indicatore | Valore | Campione |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Bellich | shots_p90 | 0,62 per90 | 8 gare |
| Amin Sarr | shots_p90 | 3,23 per90 | 7 gare |
Scenari di gara e stress test
Scenario di partenza
Sviluppo possibile
Juve Stabia last5 7GF3GA, but Verona first-seven 15.58 xG and 8.24 xGA suggest stronger chance production than current results.
Obiezione e condizione contraria
Both xG models miss the latest weekend games and Juve Stabia conceded 20 shots to Cremonese.
Se passa avanti la squadra di casa
Sviluppo possibile
The home side can protect central space through Pierobon and Artioli after a lead.
Obiezione e condizione contraria
Verona 77 shots last five and high attacking midfield pressure can generate an equaliser.
Se passa avanti la squadra ospite
Sviluppo possibile
Verona may attack transitions through Sarr and Livramento while Mosquera occupies the centre.
Obiezione e condizione contraria
Juve Stabia scoring seven in five could respond by pushing both fullbacks.
Pareggio prolungato
Sviluppo possibile
Two deep midfield lines and short recovery permit a drawn game for a long period.
Obiezione e condizione contraria
Verona's expected scoring chances from first seven suggest defensive lapses may break the balance.
Partita ad alto punteggio
Sviluppo possibile
Verona have conceded ten goals in five and forward rotations can produce open transitions.
Obiezione e condizione contraria
Juve Stabia conceded only three in five, and some of Verona goals are extreme conversion.
Controtesi e segnali di rischio
Sviluppo possibile
Home clean sheets versus Cremonese and Südtirol are real but partly rely on conversion and goalkeeper stops.
Obiezione e condizione contraria
Verona chance quality was strong earlier in the season, even when losing.
Fasce di gol: condizioni e falsificazione
4 gol totali
Elementi favorevoli
Verona recently involved in 2-2 and 2-3 matches, so four total goals remains plausible.
Elementi contrari
Juve Stabia have two clean sheets and the visiting earlier xGA was low.
0-1 gol totali
Elementi favorevoli
Juve Stabia recent compact defending and short recovery can suppress goal volume.
Elementi contrari
Verona shoot frequently and both teams have scored seven or more in five.
2-3 gol totali
Elementi favorevoli
Home defensive firmness and Verona attacking production allow moderate total goals.
Elementi contrari
Two teams could quickly trade goals if fullbacks advance.
5+ gol totali
Elementi favorevoli
If a defender is sent off or a very early goal opens play, an extreme outcome can emerge.
Elementi contrari
No complete xG model justifies treating five goals as central.
Mercati esplorati: scelta e verifiche
Le famiglie sotto provengono dal confronto prepartita dei mercati, non sono quote aggiornate o una certificazione di convenienza. Le righe senza evidenza restano non disponibili. Corner e linee dei giocatori sono esclusi dalle giocate.
| Famiglia | Riscontro nella ricognizione | Selezioni esaminate | Osservazioni |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gol totali | Osservato in F2 | Over 2.5 reti | 2 |
| Entrambe a segno | Osservato in F2 | Entrambe le squadre segnano - Sì | 2 |
| Gol per tempo | Nessun prezzo univoco | Linea non documentata | 1 |
| Gol squadra | Nessun prezzo univoco | Linea non documentata | 1 |
| Multigol | Nessun prezzo univoco | Linea non documentata | 1 |
| Combinazioni | Nessun prezzo univoco | Linea non documentata | 1 |
Sintesi tecnica F2 originale
Juve Stabia last five 7GF3GA, 77 shots for65 conceded and defensive balance stronger than Verona last five 8GF10GA, 77 shots for72 allowed. Last5 homogeneous xG unavailable for both: Juve Stabia six of eight and Verona seven of eight events from source.
Punti ancora incerti
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- {"path":"teams.home.windows.last5.metrics.xga","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete last5 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.home.windows.last3.metrics.xg","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete last3 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.home.windows.last3.metrics.xga","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete last3 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.home.windows.season.metrics.xg","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete season aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.home.windows.season.metrics.xga","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete season aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.home.windows.venue.metrics.xg","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete venue aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.home.windows.venue.metrics.xga","reason":"Juve Stabia same-model xG source has 6 of 8 fixtures; Oct18 and Oct24 are missing. Consistent complete venue aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.last5.metrics.xg","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete last5 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.last5.metrics.xga","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete last5 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.last3.metrics.xg","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete last3 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.last3.metrics.xga","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete last3 aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.season.metrics.xg","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete season aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.season.metrics.xga","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete season aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.venue.metrics.xg","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete venue aggregate is not available."}
- {"path":"teams.away.windows.venue.metrics.xga","reason":"Verona same-model xG source has 7 of 8 fixtures; Oct25 against Pisa missing. Consistent complete venue aggregate is not available."}
Le formazioni erano probabili al momento della raccolta e possono variare prima della gara.
Fonti e riscontri
Fonti consultate al momento dello studio: gli aggiornamenti successivi richiedono nuova verifica.
- Official Juve Stabia 2026 round scores and kickoff 2026-10-27 10:36
- Hellas Verona final league scores, 2026 2026-10-27 10:36
- Juve Stabia six xG fixture entries, no Oct18 or24 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona seven xG fixtures, missing Oct25 2026-10-27 10:36
- Juve Stabia seven earlier team and opposition shot logs 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona complete eight-game shots 2026-10-27 10:36
- Juve Stabia older SOT logs 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona earlier 6 game SOT logs 2026-10-27 10:36
- Juve Stabia all eight corner games 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona all eight corner games 2026-10-27 10:36
- Juve Stabia won 1-0 away with 13 shots and 2 shots on target 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona 1-1 Pisa with 11 shots and 3 on target 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona Catanzaro draw: 25 shots 6 on target 2026-10-27 10:36
- Likely lineups and suspensions Oct26 2026-10-27 10:36
- Original club kickoff confirmation 2026-10-27 10:36
- Juve Stabia shots-per90 players Bellich Pierobon Bettella 2026-10-27 10:36
- Verona shots-per90 players Sarr Zappa Edmundsson Le Borgne 2026-10-27 10:36